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Florida State vs. Louisville

"Florida State vs. Louisville" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $1.7M Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 9 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Florida State vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
O/U 63.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
2H O/U 30.5100%
2H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 16.5100%
4Q O/U 19.5100%
Louisville O/U 23.5100%
Louisville O/U 26.5100%
Louisville O/U 29.5100%
Louisville O/U 32.5100%
Louisville O/U 35.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 11.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 13.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 12.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 12.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 14.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q491%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H91%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown91%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.591%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.591%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.591%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.591%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.591%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.591%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.591%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.591%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.591%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.591%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.591%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.591%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.591%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.591%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.591%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.591%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.591%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.591%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.591%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.591%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.591%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.591%
Louisville O/U 3.591%
1H Moneyline50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown10%
Pick-Six Scored10%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.510%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.510%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.510%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.510%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.510%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.510%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.510%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.510%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.510%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.510%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.510%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.510%
Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.510%
Florida State O/U 3.510%
Game Goes to Overtime9%
Florida State 2H O/U 11.51%
Florida State 2H O/U 13.51%
Florida State 2H O/U 15.51%
2H Spread -1.51%
4Q Spread -1.51%
2H Moneyline1%
4Q Moneyline1%
Florida State vs. Louisville0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Florida State O/U 20.50%
Florida State O/U 23.50%
Florida State O/U 26.50%
Florida State O/U 29.50%
Florida State O/U 32.50%
Florida State 1H O/U 15.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 14.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Florida State vs. Louisville. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-09T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Florida State vs. Louisville".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.7M.

Methodology

This overview of Florida State vs. Louisville reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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