North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the single slot for North America at The International 2026 Dota 2 tournament, decided via the North American Regional Qualifier running from June 24 to June 27, 2026. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% YES, the market reflects a near-certainty that no North American team will secure this specific qualification path, likely due to the region’s historical underperformance or the qualifier’s cancellation risk.

Historically, North America has struggled to convert regional qualifier slots into International appearances, with the last successful qualification occurring over a decade ago. Comparable cases include the 2023 and 2024 regional qualifiers, where North American teams failed to advance despite strong open qualifier performances, framing the current 0% probability as consistent with long-term trends rather than an anomaly.

Traders should monitor official announcements from PGL and Valve regarding the qualifier’s completion and the publication of the Group Stage participant list before August 15, 2026, as failure to publish triggers an “Other” resolution. Recent news from Dota 2 confirms the qualifier’s narrow one-slot structure and the unified regional format for Europe, which may further disadvantage North America [2]. For accessibility, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach remain relevant regulatory considerations, while “no-KYC up to $1,500” allows smaller traders to engage without identity verification, though this does not alter the market’s factual outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.