Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Arian Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Arian Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Arian Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 50% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Breece Hall: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brock Wright: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Geno Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Goff: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tay Martin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik McClain: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to jets vs. lions - player props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Jets and Lions, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This overview of Jets vs. Lions - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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