Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 197.5 | 95% |
| O/U 199.5 | 94% |
| O/U 201.5 | 93% |
| O/U 203.5 | 91% |
| O/U 205.5 | 90% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5 | 87% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 4.5 | 86% |
| O/U 207.5 | 85% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 85% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| O/U 209.5 | 82% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 211.5 | 80% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 77% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 213.5 | 76% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 74% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 74% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| O/U 215.5 | 72% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 217.5 | 68% |
| O/U 219.5 | 67% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 0.5 | 64% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 221.5 | 61% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 61% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 59% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 58% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| O/U 223.5 | 56% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | 55% |
| O/U 224.5 | 55% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| O/U 225.5 | 53% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 226.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 227.5 | 47% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Kenrich Williams: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 44% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 231.5 | 39% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 233.5 | 35% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 35% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 34% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 235.5 | 32% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 7.5 | 29% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 237.5 | 28% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5 | 26% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| O/U 239.5 | 24% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -11.5 | 22% |
| Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| O/U 241.5 | 20% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| O/U 243.5 | 17% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 14% |
| O/U 245.5 | 14% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 247.5 | 12% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| O/U 249.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 9% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| O/U 251.5 | 8% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 8% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -18.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 253.5 | 6% |
| Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Kenrich Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 14.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 4% |
| Spread -25.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Alex Caruso: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
| Spread -26.5 | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Thunder vs. Trail Blazers. In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Trail Blazers, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Thunder…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $67K.
Methodology
This overview of Thunder vs. Trail Blazers reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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