Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Keleki Latu: Anytime Touchdown | 98% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 82% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 74% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 73% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 63% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 62% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 61% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 60% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 56% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Keleki Latu: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 56% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 51% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 51% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Longest Reception O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Myles Price: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 46% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 46% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| DJ Moore: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| James Cook III: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Josh Allen: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Keon Coleman: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Khalil Shakir: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Dawson Knox: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Jackson Hawes: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Ray Davis: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Ty Johnson: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Greg Dortch: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Trent Sherfield: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 41% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 39% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 36% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 33% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 25% |
| Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Tai Felton: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 23% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 21% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 16% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 16% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 16% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 15% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 13% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 13% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 13% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 13% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Carson Wentz: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Addison: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Jordan Mason: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 12% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 11% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| James Cook III: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Justin Jefferson: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 9% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 9% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Dalton Kincaid: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| DJ Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Jordan Addison: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Keon Coleman: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Khalil Shakir: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| T.J. Hockenson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Dawson Knox: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Myles Price: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Jordan Mason: 2+ Touchdowns | 7% |
| Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Ben Yurosek: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Myles Price: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Ty Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Josh Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Greg Dortch: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Trent Sherfield: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
Market context
Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 50% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-10T01:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This overview of Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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