Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
11% | 89% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
11% | 89% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Jordan 2 - 0 Argentina | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Jordan 3 - 0 Argentina | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jordan 2 - 2 Argentina | 2% YES | 99% NO |
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Jordan and Argentina, set for 10:00 PM ET on 27 June 2026 in Arlington, will conclude after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shoot-outs excluded from the result. This specific market focuses on the exact final score, where the current crowd-implied probability of 11% for a particular outcome suggests a cautious but not dismissive view of that specific scoreline.
Historical precedents in World Cup group stages involving a dominant European or South American side against a lower-ranked opponent often see the stronger team scoring two or three goals without reply, as seen in Argentina’s recent nine-match winning streak where they scored at least twice in eight outings [1][5]. Comparable cases, such as Argentina’s 3-0 victory predictions across multiple analysts [1][4][7], frame the 11% probability as a realistic but outsider assessment, particularly given Jordan’s defensive record of scoring only one goal in 19 of their last 20 matches [4].
Traders should monitor the official referee appointment, István Kovács, whose tendency for strict disciplinary action could influence goal counts, and any late lineup changes for Lionel Messi, whose shot volume is a key catalyst [2]. Recent analysis from Football Whispers highlights the likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 3/5 odds, aligning with the 3-0 correct score prediction as the primary outsider [1]. For accessibility, German GlüStV regulations and US CFTC reach mean that platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” allow traders to engage with this market without immediate identity verification, provided the stake remains within that threshold, though regulatory compliance may still apply depending on jurisdiction.
Methodology
This page reviews Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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