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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

"Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Is Polymarket Legal in Canada — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Spread -0.5 92% Spread -1.5 92% O/U 27.5 92% Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.592%
Spread -1.592%
O/U 27.592%
Spread -2.591%
O/U 29.590%
Spread -3.588%
Spread -4.587%
Spread -5.586%
O/U 31.586%
Spread -6.584%
O/U 33.584%
Spread -7.580%
Spread -8.579%
O/U 35.579%
Wisconsin O/U 6.579%
Notre Dame O/U 25.578%
Notre Dame O/U 26.577%
Spread -10.575%
O/U 37.575%
Notre Dame O/U 27.573%
Spread -13.572%
O/U 39.570%
Spread -14.568%
2H Spread -5.568%
2H Spread -4.568%
Notre Dame O/U 28.567%
O/U 41.566%
Wisconsin O/U 7.566%
Notre Dame O/U 29.566%
Spread -16.565%
2H Spread -6.564%
Wisconsin O/U 9.564%
1H Spread -9.563%
Notre Dame O/U 30.563%
1H Spread -8.562%
Spread -17.561%
O/U 43.561%
3Q Spread -2.560%
Spread -20.556%
1H Spread -10.556%
2Q Spread -6.556%
4Q Spread -2.556%
Notre Dame O/U 31.555%
Notre Dame O/U 32.555%
O/U 45.554%
1Q Spread -6.554%
Wisconsin O/U 10.554%
Notre Dame O/U 33.554%
2H Spread -7.553%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.553%
2Q Spread -5.552%
2Q Spread -9.552%
3Q Spread -6.552%
2Q Spread -4.552%
1H Spread -11.551%
1H Spread -12.551%
2H Spread -8.551%
1Q Spread -8.551%
2Q Moneyline51%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.551%
O/U 46.551%
Wisconsin O/U 12.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Wisconsin O/U 2.551%
Wisconsin O/U 3.551%
Notre Dame O/U 0.551%
Notre Dame O/U 1.551%
4Q Spread -6.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.551%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown51%
Spread -21.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -7.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.550%
Wisconsin O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame O/U 4.550%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 34.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -13.549%
3Q Spread -1.549%
3Q Spread -3.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
4Q Spread -4.549%
4Q Spread -5.549%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.549%
3Q Spread -8.549%
4Q Spread -1.548%
4Q Spread -8.548%
4Q Spread -0.548%
O/U 47.547%
Wisconsin O/U 13.547%
2H Spread -10.544%
2Q Spread -7.543%
O/U 49.542%
2H Spread -11.541%
Notre Dame O/U 35.541%
Spread -24.539%
Notre Dame O/U 36.539%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown39%
Notre Dame O/U 37.538%
1H Spread -14.538%
Spread -27.536%
1H Spread -15.536%
O/U 51.535%
1H Spread -16.535%
Wisconsin O/U 15.534%
Wisconsin O/U 16.531%
Notre Dame O/U 39.531%
O/U 53.530%
Notre Dame O/U 38.530%
3Q Spread -7.528%
Notre Dame O/U 40.528%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown26%
O/U 55.525%
Spread -31.524%
Wisconsin O/U 18.524%
4Q Spread -7.524%
O/U 57.523%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown23%
Wisconsin O/U 19.522%
Spread -34.519%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown19%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown18%
O/U 59.517%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown17%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 61.516%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown15%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown15%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown15%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 63.513%
1H Moneyline12%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown11%
O/U 65.510%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame9%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown9%
O/U 67.58%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown8%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown8%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown8%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown8%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown8%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown7%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown5%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown4%

Market context

The Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 92% for "Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

Spread -0.5 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

This overview of Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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Related Topics

Sports