Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| UTSA vs. Texas State | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| O/U 78.5 | 0% |
| O/U 80.5 | 0% |
| O/U 82.5 | 0% |
| O/U 84.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of utsa vs. texas state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
This overview of UTSA vs. Texas State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
Trade UTSA vs. Texas State on Is Polymarket Legal in Canada
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →