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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

"Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada as a Polymarket alternative.

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 81% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 65% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 63% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 59% Volume: $185K Liquidity: $445K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.581%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.565%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.563%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.559%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.556%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo54%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.550%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.546%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.545%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.533%

Market context

The Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction market currently prices this outcome at 81% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael…

Methodology

This overview of Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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