Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
23% | 77% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
23% | 77% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 23% Over | 77% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 27% Over | 73% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 7% Over | 94% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 13% Over | 88% Under |
| Croatia Corners: O/U 4.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Ghana Corners: O/U 2.5 | 52% Over | 49% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group L match between Croatia and Ghana at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, 27 June 2026. This fixture determines progression in the tournament, with Croatia favoured on the moneyline and Ghana noted for an unblemished defensive record in recent group stages[2][5].
Historical data from comparable World Cup encounters suggests that corner markets often remain muted when teams prioritise defensive structures, mirroring Croatia’s trend of under 10.5 corners and both sides’ streaks for under 4.5 cards[7]. The current 10% YES probability for total corners aligns with these patterns, reflecting a market expectation of a tight, low-event game rather than an open, high-corner contest[2].
Traders should monitor final lineup confirmations and any pre-match tactical announcements, as shifts in formation could alter corner dynamics significantly[1]. Recent pre-match analysis from Sofascore highlights that corners and cards may stay subdued given the teams’ defensive tendencies[7]. From a regulatory perspective, German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks impose strict KYC requirements, yet the “no-KYC up to $1,500” exemption allows limited accessibility for this market without full identity verification, provided participants remain within the threshold[2]. This creates a narrow but viable entry point for traders seeking exposure without full compliance burdens.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Croatia vs. Ghana - Total Corners on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →