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National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

"National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada as a Polymarket alternative.

National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.5 57% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner 54% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 53% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 53% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $375K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.557%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner54%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante53%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner53%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.551%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.549%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.548%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.532%

Market context

The National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction market currently prices this outcome at 57% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This overview of National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Polymarket Legal in Canada?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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