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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Regulatory snapshot for "PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Scottie Scheffler 63% Steven Fisk 13% Viktor Hovland 8% Ludvig Aberg 6% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $983K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler63%
Steven Fisk13%
Viktor Hovland8%
Ludvig Aberg6%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Sung-Jae Im4%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Jordan Spieth2%
Cameron Young2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Sam Burns1%
Ricky Castillo1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eric Cole1%
Corey Conners1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Harris English1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Chris Gotterup1%
Ben Griffin1%
Harry Hall1%
Brian Harman1%
Russell Henley1%
Ryo Hisatsune1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Max Homa1%
Michael Kim1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Shane Lowry1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Matt McCarty1%
Rory McIlroy1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Keith Mitchell1%
Collin Morikawa1%
Alexander Noren1%
JT Poston1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Justin Rose1%
Xander Schauffele1%
Matthias Schmid1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Sam Stevens1%
Sepp Straka1%
Nick Taylor1%
Sahith Theegala1%
Justin Thomas1%
Michael Thorbjornsen1%
Gary Woodland1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju1%
Pierceson Coody0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
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Player 70%
Player 80%
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Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Market consensus: 63% chance of pga tour: fedex st. jude championship winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St…

Methodology

This overview of PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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