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South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada as a Polymarket alternative.

Graham Nordone <5% 94% Other 50% Graham Nordone 5–10% 3% Graham Nordone 30%+ 0% Volume: $185K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 25 Aug 2026
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South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Polymarket Legal in Canada) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Graham Nordone <5%94%
Other50%
Graham Nordone 5–10%3%
Graham Nordone 30%+0%
Graham Nordone 25–30%0%
Graham Nordone 20–25%0%
Graham Nordone 15–20%0%
Graham Nordone 10–15%0%
Norman <5%0%
Norman 5–10%0%
Norman 10–15%0%
Norman 15–20%0%
Norman 20%+0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 94% probability to south carolina special senate republican primary: runoff margin of victory. The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the to…

Methodology

This overview of South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Polymarket Legal in Canada exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Polymarket Legal in Canada would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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Related Topics

Politics