Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Belgium Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group G finale between New Zealand and Belgium, played on 26 June at 11:00 PM ET, where Belgium dominated with a 5–1 victory and generated four corners in the match statistics[2]. Historical precedents show that when a team like Belgium, with significantly higher xG and shot volume, faces a defensively leaner opponent like New Zealand, corner totals often skew heavily toward the attacking side, mirroring patterns seen in prior World Cup fixtures where dominant teams secured multiple set-piece opportunities[3]. The current 100% YES probability for total corners aligns with these comparable cases, where Belgium’s offensive pressure consistently translated into corner counts, reinforcing the market’s certainty.
Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports and post-game analytics for corner confirmations, as dependencies include final foul counts and set-piece conversions that directly impact totals[4]. A recent FOX Sports boxscore confirms Belgium’s corner activity, with De Bruyne taking a corner in the first half, while match statistics highlight four total corners recorded[1]. No further announcements are expected, as the settlement window ends 2026-06-27T03:00:00Z, and the outcome is already determined by the match result. Regulatory frameworks like Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach do not alter the factual outcome, though “no-KYC up to $1,500” ensures accessibility for traders in jurisdictions with strict identity requirements, allowing participation without additional verification hurdles.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade New Zealand vs. Belgium - Total Corners on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →