Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
On 26 June 2026 at Seattle Stadium, Egypt and IR Iran played a decisive FIFA World Cup Group G match that concluded in a 1–1 full-time draw, with Egypt advancing to the round of 32 as the second-placed team and Iran awaiting confirmation of their knockout qualification[1][5]. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for an Egypt win at halftime reflects a market that has already priced in the match’s actual outcome, where the first half ended in a tie, a result consistent with the teams’ comparable scoring rates: Egypt averaging 2.00 goals per game and Iran 1.00[4]. Historical precedents, such as Egypt’s 3–1 comeback win after trailing 1–0 at halftime in a prior World Cup fixture, illustrate that early deficits do not preclude late success, yet they do not override the settled reality of this match’s halftime score[9].
Traders should monitor official Source Agency announcements confirming the finalised halftime result, as resolution occurs once the first final report is issued and any subsequent revisions do not affect settlement[2]. Key dependencies include the referee Szymon Marciniak’s stoppage-time decisions and any post-match disciplinary updates that could influence future group-stage probabilities for both nations[5]. While no recent news source directly alters the settled outcome, the broader context of FIFA’s clashes with both teams over rainbow symbols at the Pride Match adds regulatory weight to how results are framed in public discourse[4]. From a regulatory standpoint, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach define the legal boundaries for such markets, while the ‘no-KYC up to $1,500’ threshold enhances accessibility for Canadian participants without compromising compliance[2]. This specific market’s accessibility is thus shaped by a balance of jurisdictional reach and streamlined user verification, ensuring factual participation within defined legal parameters.
Methodology
This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Egypt vs. IR Iran - Halftime Result on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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