Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% Power Rangers | 51% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% Over | 51% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% Power Rangers | 51% Team Bald |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Team Bald |
| Match Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Team Bald |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is a Dota 2 lower-bracket round 2 qualifier match between Power Rangers and Team Bald, scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on 26 June at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Power Rangers, an Belarusian squad currently ranked #71 globally, has won three of their last five matches, while Team Bald’s recent form remains less documented in public esports databases[1][6]. This 50-50 crowd-implied probability reflects the absence of a clear historical head-to-head advantage or dominant recent performance gap between the two sides[1][4].
Historically, similar qualifier matches in regional Dota 2 events have resolved with near-even odds when teams lack prior tournament exposure or when one side’s roster is unstable, as seen in TI14 Europe Closed Qualifiers where unranked teams frequently forced 50-50 outcomes due to cancellation clauses or tie resolutions[2][7]. The current probability aligns with these precedents, suggesting traders should treat this as a high-variance contest where external factors like match delays or disqualifications could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause more than in-game dominance[3][5].
Traders should monitor official Liquipedia or Strafe Esports announcements for roster changes, match postponements, or disqualification notices, as these directly impact settlement conditions[1][6]. Recent coverage from Strafe Esports confirms the match time and venue but notes no updates on Team Bald’s roster stability, a key dependency for outcome certainty[1]. Regulatory frameworks like Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach do not currently restrict access to this market, and the “no-KYC up to $1,500” threshold ensures broad accessibility for European and North American participants without identity verification hurdles.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The Inter… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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