Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal match between Polish team Walczaki and British outfit IC Esports, scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026 within the Super DraculaN Playoffs. Walczaki recently lost a 2-1 Anubis tie to Echo in the semi-finals, advancing to the quarter-finals, while IC Esports entered the scene in January 2025 as a British organisation[1][2]. The market currently implies a 0% probability that Walczaki will win, suggesting the crowd heavily favours IC Esports or anticipates a cancellation.

Historical precedents for such extreme crowd-implied probabilities often stem from confirmed roster issues, venue cancellations, or one-sided qualifying records that render the outcome virtually certain before the match begins. In comparable esports cases, a 0% implied probability has frequently preceded matches that were either cancelled or resulted in a walkover due to administrative failures, rather than a competitive loss[1]. Traders should interpret this figure as a signal that the market expects a non-competitive resolution, such as a tie or cancellation, which would trigger the 50-50 settlement clause, rather than a standard competitive defeat for Walczaki.

Key catalysts include the official live score confirmation on 26 June and any announcements regarding roster availability or tournament scheduling dependencies. Recent tournament data confirms the match is listed as a Best-of-3 EU Europe event with ranking 53 versus best[3]. Traders must monitor for regulatory shifts, specifically German GlüStV implications on gambling accessibility, US CFTC reach over prediction markets, and the practical meaning of "no-KYC up to $1,500" for this specific market's accessibility. These factors determine whether the market remains open for retail participation or faces restrictions that could alter liquidity before the settlement window ends on 26 June 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.