Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 lower-bracket semifinal in the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs, where roamsfiest defeated Johnny Speeds 2–1 on 27 June 2026 at 10:04 UTC, confirming the market will resolve to “roamsfiest” and rendering the 0% YES probability for Johnny Speeds accurate post-result.

Historical precedents in regulated prediction markets, such as Kalshi’s verified CS2 outcomes, show that crowd-implied probabilities collapse to zero once official results are confirmed via HLTV or Gamers World, mirroring how German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks treat settled events as non-tradable; prior to the match, some platforms listed Johnny Speeds at 88% win probability, but this shifted entirely after the 2–1 loss, illustrating how regulatory clarity overrides pre-match sentiment once settlement occurs.

Traders should monitor official Svenska CS-Ligan announcements for potential match cancellations or delays beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50–50 resolution, though no such dependencies are currently active; recent coverage from Strafe confirms the match concluded as scheduled, and with settlement windows ending 27 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC, the outcome is now fixed. For accessibility, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means users can participate without identity verification under thresholds aligned with EU and US anti-money laundering rules, but this market is already settled, so new entries are irrelevant.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.