Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 semifinal match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on June 27, 2026, as part of the Super DraculaN Playoffs. Inner Circle, representing Ukraine, faces Sharks from Brazil in a best-of-three series where the winner advances and the loser drops to the lower bracket.

Historical precedents for similar esports prediction markets show that 0% crowd-implied probability often reflects a mismatch in recent form rather than an impossible outcome. In the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, Sharks already defeated Inner Circle 2-0 on Mirage and Nuke, advancing to playoffs while Inner Circle fell to the lower bracket[1]. This prior result heavily skews current sentiment, yet Thunderpick odds at the time of writing still favoured Inner Circle slightly at 1.78 versus Sharks at 1.92, suggesting the market may not fully account for the BO3 format’s potential for reversal[2].

Traders should monitor the map veto strategy, as banning Nuke could neutralise Sharks’ strongest map and shift the series to neutral territory[2]. Key catalysts include the official BO3 schedule confirmation and any roster changes, with the match set to begin at 13:30 local time on June 27[4]. Regulatory accessibility is shaped by German GlüStV rules and US CFTC reach, where ‘no-KYC up to $1,500’ allows immediate participation without identity verification for this specific market, though larger stakes may trigger compliance checks. Recent coverage from GOCORE confirms the map veto remains the critical tactical dependency for this matchup[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.