Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Entropy | 0% Donstu Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Entropy | 100% Donstu Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Entropy | 0% Donstu Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% Donstu Esports | 100% Entropy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 0% Donstu Esports | 100% Entropy |
Market context
The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 match between Entropy Gaming and Donstu Esports in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier, Group C, scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026. The market resolves to "Entropy" if they win the Best-of-3 series, with the crowd currently assigning a 100% probability to this outcome, despite Entropy playing with a stand-in, Tamefear, instead of their regular player Mikanix[3].
Historical precedents in similar low-tier qualifiers show that stand-in disruptions often erode win probabilities, yet Donstu Esports, ranked 92 globally, has lost three of their last five matches, while Entropy, ranked 120, secured a 2:1 victory in this specific fixture[2]. Comparable cases from Series 7 qualifiers indicate that when a lower-ranked team faces a stand-in squad, the crowd-implied probability can remain skewed if the opponent’s recent form is poor, as seen in Donstu’s recent Heroic Academy clash[6].
Traders should monitor official HLTV confirmations for any schedule shifts or roster changes, as the match outcome is verified against HLTV and Gamers World data[1]. Recent announcements from Dust2.us highlight that Donstu’s recent form speaks against them, yet the stand-in situation remains a critical dependency for Entropy’s performance[3]. No regulatory barriers currently prevent access to this market under German GlüStV provisions or US CFTC reach, and the "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold ensures full accessibility for participants without identity verification, provided the match proceeds as scheduled.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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